Tag Archives: ASI
AI Impact Predictions
Debates about future AI progress or impact are often confused, because different people have very different mental-models for the expected pace, and the time-horizon over which they are projecting. This figure is my attempt to clarify: The experimental datapoints come … Continue reading
Concise Argument for ASI Risk
I listened to the debate between Stephen Wolfram and Eliezer Yudkowsky on Machine Learning Street Talk (MLST). I found the discussion frustrating, since it felt like they were trying to have two very different conversations: Wolfram questioning basic principles and … Continue reading
How Smart will ASI be?
The development of AI is pushing towards AGI. To many, once you have AGI, you quickly and inevitably achieve ASI (superintelligence), since AGI can do AI research and thus AI iteratively self-improves (at an exponential rate). Others sometimes doubt that … Continue reading